DAILY MLB PICKS

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2025-26 OFFSEASON IN PROGRESS - Bichette to Mets ($126M) - Tucker to Dodgers ($240M) - Arenado to D-Backs

MLB BETTING EDUCATION

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Strikeout props, hit totals, home runs, and more. This comprehensive guide breaks down every MLB prop type and the strategies that actually work.

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Bankroll Management

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World Series Futures Guide

Everything you need to know about betting on World Series futures. Learn optimal timing, value spots, and how major offseason moves shift championship odds.

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AI HANDICAPPING SHOWDOWN

Three AI models. 24 days of MLB picks. One champion. Real tracked results with full transparency.

CHAMPION

CLAUDE

79-49-3
Record
+46.53u
Profit
60.7%
Win Rate
+15.70%
ROI
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CHATGPT

89-62-2
Record
+11.45u
Profit
59.6%
Win Rate
+3.98%
ROI
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GEMINI

70-56-2
Record
-1.81u
Profit
55.9%
Win Rate
-0.73%
ROI
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Breaking News - January 2026

BREAKING

Three-Team Blockbuster: Lowe, Lux, Burke Swap

The Rays, Reds, and Angels completed a significant three-team deal. Josh Lowe heads to LA Angels, Gavin Lux and Chris Clark go to Tampa Bay, and reliever Brock Burke lands in Cincinnati. The Angels fill their OF void while the Rays get infield depth and pitching. Fantasy and betting implications are significant - Lowe's power potential rises in Angel Stadium's favorable dimensions.

Trade Analysis →
BREAKING

Bo Bichette Signs with Mets (3yr/$126M)

The Mets have landed their shortstop of the future. Bo Bichette signs a 3-year, $126M deal with New York, pairing him with Marcus Semien in an elite middle infield. Mets NL East odds have improved significantly. With Bichette's bat (.290 career avg, 20+ HR power), the Mets offense takes another step toward elite status. AI projection: Mets now have top-3 World Series value.

Futures Analysis →
Jan 13

Bregman Deal Breakdown: The $70M Deferral Play

The Cubs' 5-year, $175M Bregman contract has a hidden edge: $70 million in deferrals. That drops the present-day value to roughly $30-31M AAV and keeps Chicago under the $244M CBT threshold for 2026. The ripple effect? Nico Hoerner (FA after 2026) is now trade bait with Bregman at third and Shaw as insurance. The Tigers offered 6/$171.5M with an opt-out - Bregman chose more guaranteed money over flexibility. Cubs NL Central odds should tighten from +280 to +220.

Contract Analysis →
BREAKING

Kyle Tucker Signs with Dodgers (4yr/$240M)

The top free agent is off the board. Kyle Tucker has signed a 4-year, $240 million deal with the defending champion Dodgers. LA adds another elite bat to an already loaded lineup. Dodgers World Series odds should improve from +600 to +550.

Full Analysis
Jan 8

Cubs Acquire Edward Cabrera from Marlins

Chicago lands the hard-throwing right-hander for top prospect Owen Caissie and two other hitting prospects. Cabrera's elite splitter adds a weapon to a Cubs rotation seeking a playoff push.

Trade Analysis
Jan 14

Bregman Signs 5yr/$175M with Cubs

Alex Bregman has officially signed with the Chicago Cubs on a 5-year, $175 million deal with $70M in deferrals. He joins a team that won 92 games in 2025. Cubs NL Central odds have improved to +260.

Full Breakdown
Orioles

Baltimore's Spending Spree Continues

After adding Pete Alonso ($155M), Ryan Helsley, Taylor Ward, and Shane Baz, the Orioles are now targeting pitching. Framber Valdez and Ranger Suarez both on their radar.

Team Preview
Dec 2025

Schwarber Re-Signs with Phillies ($150M)

After a career year (56 HR, 132 RBI, .928 OPS), Kyle Schwarber stays in Philadelphia on a 5-year, $150M deal. Orioles had matched the offer but Schwarber chose to chase a ring in Philly.

Contract Details
Blue Jays

Toronto Adds Okamoto and Cease

The Blue Jays signed Dylan Cease ($210M/7yr) and Japanese 3B Kazuma Okamoto ($60M/4yr). With Tucker now a Dodger, Toronto must pivot to other options as they position for an AL East run.

Betting Impact
Archive

Full Offseason Blog Coverage

Complete archive of all offseason analysis, trade breakdowns, free agent news, and betting impact assessments from the 2025-26 hot stove season.

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2025-26 Offseason Signings Tracker

Player Team Contract Date
Bo Bichette (SS) New York Mets 3 yr / $126M Jan 2026
Kyle Tucker (OF) Los Angeles Dodgers 4 yr / $240M Jan 2026
Alex Bregman (3B) Chicago Cubs 5 yr / $175M Jan 2026
Pete Alonso (1B) Baltimore Orioles 5 yr / $155M Dec 2025
Dylan Cease (SP) Toronto Blue Jays 7 yr / $210M Dec 2025
Kyle Schwarber (DH/OF) Philadelphia Phillies 5 yr / $150M Dec 2025
Josh Naylor (1B) Seattle Mariners 5 yr / $92.5M Dec 2025
Kazuma Okamoto (3B) Toronto Blue Jays 4 yr / $60M Dec 2025
Munetaka Murakami (INF) Chicago White Sox 2 yr / $34M Dec 2025
Ryan Helsley (CL) Baltimore Orioles 2 yr / $28M Dec 2025

Top FAs Still Unsigned: Max Fried, Cody Bellinger, Teoscar Hernandez

Betting Resources

2025 Recap

Dodgers Win Back-to-Back World Series

Los Angeles defeated the Blue Jays 4-3 in the 2025 World Series. Yoshinobu Yamamoto won MVP. The first back-to-back champion since the 2000 Yankees. Complete breakdown and 2026 implications.

Game 7 Recap
Futures

2026 World Series Odds Update

Dodgers (+600) seek a three-peat. Mets (+650), Phillies (+800), and Orioles (+850) round out the favorites. See where the value lies heading into spring training.

Current Odds
Education

MLB Betting Fundamentals

Master moneylines, run lines, totals, and props. Essential reading for anyone serious about baseball handicapping this upcoming season.

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Props

Prop Betting Guide

Master player props, game props, and series props. Find edges in the prop betting market with our complete guide.

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Strategy

Bankroll Management

Unit sizing, Kelly Criterion, and survival strategies. The skill that separates recreational bettors from professionals.

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Futures

2026 Win Totals Analysis

Projected win totals for all 30 teams with over/under recommendations. Where to find value in the win total market.

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